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Risen Star Stakes (G2) Division One Analysis (2020)
Free Risen Star Stakes past performances for Saturday, February 15, 2020 at Fair Grounds in New Orleans
An overflow field for the Risen Star Stakes (G2) has forced Fair Grounds officials to split the highly valued Kentucky Derby prep into two divisions – each worth 50 points to the winning connections.
Division 1 will go as Race #12 on the Saturday card in the Big Easy and will be headlined by the 2020 Lecomte winner Enforceable for owner John Oxley and trainer Mark Casse. Enforceable turned in his best performance yet when starting the new year off with a win in the 1 1/16 miles and will need to go an extra 1/16th to pick up the prize money and the points. His come from behind style should prove to be a plus with the added distance as he faces off against several of the runners from the Lecomte including the second and third place finishers Silver State and Mr. Monomoy, respectively.
The Official Field for the 1 1/8 miles Risen Star Stakes (G2) Division One at Fair Grounds
| PP | Horse | Trainer | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital | Calhoun | 6/1 |
| Improving numbers in each of his three starts for high percentage barn who sent him around two turns to finish second to Blackberry Wine LTO. Has been single digit odds in each trip to the track but will have to step up big to carry his speed the added distance. | |||
| 2 | Silver State | Asmussen | 4/1 |
| Second in the Lecomte from off the pace, he was a nine length winner at first asking in Louisville three back. Bobbled in his last two which caused delays when finishing second twice. Son of Hard Spun (the front running winner of the 1 mile Lecomte in 2007 and runner up to Street Sense in the Derby) appears to have a different running style than did his sire. They might try something different here and put him on the lead. Look for an equipment change soon if he bobbles again. | |||
| 3 | Ready to Roll | Calhoun | 20/1 |
| Ok, he may have been “Ready to Roll” when they named him. But it took three tries before he cracked the code last time out in front-running fashion to win by 7+ at Oaklawn going long vs. maidens. Son of City Zip took to the off-track that day. But it will be all sunshine in New Orleans for his first race against winners. Too tough a task. | |||
| 4 | Perfect Revenge | Joseph | 20/1 |
| Canadian bred son of 2009 Wood winner I Want Revenge who probably would have entered the Derby starting gate as the favorite had he not been scratched the morning of the race – and never won again. Off as the beaten favorite in his last start at Gulfstream, he would be a shocker. | |||
| 5 | Moon Over Miami | Mott | 10/1 |
| Took a 1 mile maiden by 5 two back at Aqueduct under Alvarado who will be back aboard after his most recent disappointment under Johnny V. at Gulfstream. He, like others in here, is a TC nominee, so why not take a shot to “steal” a spot in the starting gate for the Derby. Note that Farmington Road for Pletcher returned to win his next out maiden at Tampa as the heavy favorite in a six horse field. There is no clear cut favorite in Division 1 of the Risen Star so this guy offers value. | |||
| 6 | Shashashakemeup | Desormeaux | 20/1 |
| Pressed the early fractions in the Lecomte and has early foot like his sire Shackleford who had distance issues in the classics. Appears to have only the one style which won’t play well in here. | |||
| 7 | Blackberry Wine | Sharp | 5/1 |
| Son of Preakness winner Oxbow, he has won two of his last three on dirt for Calumet and has the highest last race speed figure in the field. Like his sire, he has tactical speed and if he got the stamina he could take them all the way around the track in here. | |||
| 8 | Enforceable | Casse | 7/2 |
| Should be the standout favorite in the ML but will open lukewarm a 1/2 point lower than the Lecomte runner up Silver State. He was Wiz Capper’s long shot play closing at 29-1 in Pool 2 last weekend. The added distance should be no problem for him but this field has some unknowns in the way of Mott and Pletcher’s newcomers from SoFlo. Love the combination of Tapit and Justwhistledixie. | |||
| 9 | Mr. Monomoy | Cox | 6/1 |
| Son of 2013 Belmont winner Palace Malice who beat Oxbow that day, he is the half-brother to multiple graded stakes winner Monomoy Girl — winner at 1 1/8 miles three times. Beaten in the Lecomte, he’ll have to take a step up while pressing close to the pace and be able to hold off Enforceable but he’ll be right there in the end. | |||
| 10 | Farmington Road | Pletcher | 8/1 |
| Remember that when the ML handicapper sets a horse’s price at 8-1 to open, it’s a sign that he could be any kind. But trying to make a case for him has to be made in light of Moon Over Miami’s win over him two back. Like that Castellano is back aboard but he’s here to ride British Idiom in the Rachel Alexandra so trying not to read too much into this guys chances. But Pletcher didn’t ship this guy without expecting much. Board player. | |||
| 11 | Scabbard | Kenneally | 12/1 |
| LOVE. LOVE. LOVE. the change of rider in here! It seems the handicapper has given up on this guy after the betting public made him the favorite in the Lecomte. He won his maiden voyage by 5 when known as Noose, before the #WOKE won out and his name was changed to Scabbard. Checkout the four subsequent graded stakes tries including a nice fourth place finish in the BC Juvenile. And what price do you think Dennis’ Moment, Anneau d’Or, or Storm the Court would be in here? DO NOT DISMISS. | |||
Free Risen Star Stakes Past Performances
Free past performances for the Risen Star Stakes provided by Brisnet
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