2025 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 6: Top Picks and Betting Strategies

By WIZCAPPER
Updated: April 3, 2025

free past performances for Kentucky Derby 2025

TheFreePPs

2025 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 6, happening April 3-5, 2025, with a $5 million purse for three-year-olds—colts and geldings at 126 lbs, fillies at 121 lbs. You can bet on specific horses or the “Field” (number 40), which covers all other 2022-foaled three-year-olds. No refunds, all wagers final, pool closes at 4 p.m. ET on April 5. Let’s break down these contenders based on their stats and recent form.

Let’s analyze the full 39-horse field for the 2025 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 6 (April 3-5, 2025), using the free Brisnet PPs. The Future Wager is a hypothetical field consisting of 40 betting interests (including the field of all other potential horses — we did not provide any thoughts or include #40 in the analysis), and the goal is to find value overlays for the Derby (1¼ miles, $5 million purse, speed pars 94 E1/E2, 103 late). The analysis includes the Prime Power, Running Style (E, E/P, P, S), and Concerns, and finishes with top picks and betting strategies.

Live odds for 2025 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 6

NOTE: The analysis and predictions are for informational purposes only and there is no guarantee, implied or otherwise, for success using this prediction. Do your own research and wager responsibly. TheFreePPs.com nor any of its principals are responsible for any losses that may be incurred using this information.

Detailed Analysis (Horses 1-39)

Admiral Dennis (80/1)
- Prime Power: 132.4 (30th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 3)
- Trainer: Brad Cox (27% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 2 wins, $151,050 (Life Speed: 91)
- Recent: 6th Rebel-G2 (89 speed, Feb-23), won OC100k (82 speed, Jan-20)
- Pros: Cox’s 25% graded stakes stat, sharp 5F work (Mar-29), 2-for-5 lifetime.
- Concerns: 91 max speed well below 103 par, faded in G2 last out, untested at 10f.
- Outlook: Longshot with pace but needs a speed jump to compete.
American Promise (30/1)
- Prime Power: 143.3 (10th)
- Running Style: E (Early, 5)
- Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas (11% win rate)
- Record: 9 starts, 2 wins, $444,874 (Life Speed: 105)
- Recent: Won Virginia Derby (105 speed, Mar-15), 5th Risen Star-G2 (91 speed, Feb-15)
- Pros: 105 speed tops par, won last out, sharp 5F work (Apr-1), stakes experience.
- Concerns: Lukas’s 10% graded stakes clip, big class jump from state-bred stakes, turf win questions dirt ability.
- Outlook: Value potential if dirt translates, but inconsistency is a risk.
Baeza (60/1)
- Prime Power: 129.8 (32nd)
- Running Style: E (Early, 5)
- Trainer: John Shirreffs (10% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 1 win, $48,500 (Life Speed: 98)
- Recent: Won maiden (98 speed, Feb-14), 2nd maiden (88 speed, Jan-4)
- Pros: 98 speed nears stakes level, won last out, $1.2M purchase signals pedigree.
- Concerns: 48-day layoff, Shirreffs’s 6% maiden-to-stakes stat, 98 max below par, light experience.
- Outlook: Longshot with upside, but green and slow for this level.
Barnes (15/1)
- Prime Power: 145.1 (5th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 8)
- Trainer: Bob Baffert (29% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 2 wins, $249,000 (Life Speed: 102)
- Recent: 2nd San Felipe-G2 (102 speed, Mar-1), won San Vicente-G2 (94 speed, Jan-4)
- Pros: 102 speed hits par, Baffert’s 28% graded stakes stat, sharp 4F work (Mar-31), G2 winner.
- Concerns: Failed as favorite last out, only 3 starts, untested at 10f.
- Outlook: High-upside contender with value at 15/1.
Built (15/1)
- Prime Power: 144.1 (8th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 4)
- Trainer: Wayne Catalano (17% win rate)
- Record: 6 starts, 2 wins, $244,204 (Life Speed: 94)
- Recent: 5th Louisiana Derby-G2 (92 speed, Mar-22), 2nd Risen Star-G2 (94 speed, Feb-15)
- Pros: G2 placer twice, experience (6 starts), Catalano’s steady hand.
- Concerns: 94 max speed below par, 8% graded stakes clip, faded in G2 last out.
- Outlook: Value at 15/1 if he rebounds, but speed limits ceiling.
Burnham Square (40/1)
- Prime Power: 142.2 (16th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 4)
- Trainer: Ian Wilkes (12% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 2 wins, $222,130 (Life Speed: 101)
- Recent: 4th Fountain of Youth-G2 (96 speed, Mar-1), won Holy Bull-G3 (101 speed, Feb-1)
- Pros: 101 speed hits par, G3 winner, sharp 5F work (Mar-29), stakes form.
- Concerns: Failed as favorite last out, 8% graded stakes clip, untested at 10f.
- Outlook: Mid-tier value with pace and potential.
Caldera (40/1)
- Prime Power: 136.0 (28th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 5)
- Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas (11% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 1 win, $184,616 (Life Speed: 96)
- Recent: 8th Louisiana Derby-G2 (61 speed, Mar-22), 2nd Sunland Derby (96 speed, Feb-16)
- Pros: Stakes placer, sharp 5F work (Mar-31), Lukas’s experience.
- Concerns: 96 max speed below par, collapsed in G2 last out, 10% stakes clip.
- Outlook: Longshot needing a massive rebound.
Captain Cook (25/1)
- Prime Power: 141.3 (18th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 6)
- Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr. (20% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 2 wins, $188,256 (Life Speed: 100)
- Recent: Won Withers (100 speed, Feb-1), won maiden (92 speed, Dec-28-24)
- Pros: 100 speed nears par, won last out, sharp 4F work (Apr-1), Dutrow’s 23% last-out-winner stat.
- Concerns: 62-day layoff, big class jump, untested at 10f, light experience.
- Outlook: Value play with upside if fresh.
Chancer McPatrick (30/1)
- Prime Power: 142.6 (14th)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 3)
- Trainer: Chad Brown (22% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 3 wins, $605,000 (Life Speed: 99)
- Recent: 2nd Tampa Bay Derby-G3 (91 speed, Mar-8), won BC Juvenile-G1 (99 speed, Nov-1-24)
- Pros: G1 winner at 2, Brown’s 29% second-off-layoff stat, sharp 4F work (Mar-29), stakes veteran.
- Concerns: 91 speed last out below par, unproven at 10f, subpar recent form.
- Outlook: Value at 30/1 if he regains G1 form.
Chunk of Gold (30/1)
- Prime Power: 142.6 (15th)
- Running Style: S (Stalker, 2)
- Trainer: Ethan West (11% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 1 win, $348,818 (Life Speed: 98)
- Recent: 2nd Louisiana Derby-G2 (98 speed, Mar-22), 2nd Risen Star-G2 (94 speed, Feb-15)
- Pros: G2 placer twice, 98 speed nears stakes level, late-closing style suits 10f.
- Concerns: 11% trainer win rate, 98 max below par, only 1 win (AW).
- Outlook: Value closer with board-hitting potential.
Citizen Bull (10/1)
- Prime Power: 144.2 (7th)
- Running Style: E (Early, 8)
- Trainer: Bob Baffert (29% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 4 wins, $1,421,000 (Life Speed: 107)
- Recent: Won R.B. Lewis-G3 (96 speed, Feb-1), won BC Juvenile-G1 (107 speed, Nov-1-24)
- Pros: 107 speed tops par, 4-for-5 with G1/G3 wins, Baffert’s 28% stakes stat, sharp 5F work (Mar-29).
- Concerns: 62-day layoff, 96 speed last out dips, untested at 10f in 2025.
- Outlook: Top contender, though odds may not offer overlay value.
Coal Battle (25/1)
- Prime Power: 146.2 (2nd)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 6)
- Trainer: Lonnie Briley (16% win rate)
- Record: 8 starts, 5 wins, $1,188,875 (Life Speed: 98)
- Recent: 3rd Arkansas Derby-G1 (93 speed, Mar-25), won Rebel-G2 (98 speed, Feb-25)
- Pros: High win rate, G2 winner, strong early pace.
- Concerns: 98 max speed below par, faded in G1, untested at 10f.
- Outlook: Pace factor with overlay potential.
Dragon (50/1)
- Prime Power: ~130s (assumed)
- Running Style: Unknown
- Trainer: Mikio Matsunaga (no U.S. stats)
- Record: 3 starts, 1 win, $66,926 (No U.S. speed figures)
- Recent: 5th Hyacinth S. (Feb-25), won Chukyo (Jan-25)
- Pros: Japanese import with upside.
- Concerns: No U.S. dirt runs, speed unknown, outclassed last out.
- Outlook: Longshot with too many unknowns.
East Avenue (30/1)
- Prime Power: ~135-140 (assumed)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 6)
- Trainer: Brendan Walsh (15% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 2 wins, $410,645 (Life Speed: 95)
- Recent: 10th Risen Star-G2 (80 speed, Feb-25), won Breeders’ Futurity-G1 (95 speed, Oct-24)
- Pros: G1 winner at 2, sharp works.
- Concerns: Poor recent form, 95 max speed below par, layoff.
- Outlook: Bounce-back candidate with risks.
Final Gambit (40/1)
- Prime Power: ~135-140 (assumed)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 5)
- Trainer: Brad Cox (27% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 2 wins, $520,639 (Life Speed: 101)
- Recent: Won Jeff Ruby Steaks-G3 (101 speed, AW, Mar-25)
- Pros: 101 speed hits par, Cox’s AW-to-dirt stat.
- Concerns: No dirt stakes wins, light experience.
- Outlook: Promising with dirt transition key.
Flood Zone (40/1)
- Prime Power: ~135-140 (assumed)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 6)
- Trainer: Brad Cox (27% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 2 wins, $203,800 (Life Speed: 101)
- Recent: Won Gotham-G3 (101 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: 101 speed, Cox’s last-out-winner stat.
- Concerns: Only 3 starts, untested at 10f.
- Outlook: Rising star with overlay potential.
Flying Mohawk (60/1)
- Prime Power: ~130-135 (assumed)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 5)
- Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman (15% win rate)
- Record: 6 starts, 2 wins, $295,800 (Life Speed: 97)
- Recent: 2nd Jeff Ruby Steaks-G3 (97 speed, AW, Mar-25)
- Pros: Stakes placer, AW-to-dirt potential.
- Concerns: 97 max speed, no dirt wins, weak trainer stakes stat.
- Outlook: Longshot needing a surface boost.
Grande (60/1)
- Prime Power: ~130-135 (assumed)
- Running Style: E (Early, 8)
- Trainer: Todd Pletcher (18% win rate)
- Record: 2 starts, 2 wins, $88,200 (Life Speed: 88)
- Recent: Won OC75k (87 speed, Feb-25)
- Pros: Undefeated, Pletcher’s pedigree.
- Concerns: 88 max speed, light experience, class jump.
- Outlook: Too green and slow for now.
Hill Road (40/1)
- Prime Power: ~135-140 (assumed)
- Running Style: S (Stalker, 0)
- Trainer: Chad Brown (22% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 1 win, $226,606 (Life Speed: 101)
- Recent: 3rd Tampa Bay Derby-G3 (87 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: 101 speed, Brown’s second-off-layoff stat.
- Concerns: Subpar last out, only 1 win.
- Outlook: Late runner with upside if form improves.
Journalism (4/1)
- Prime Power: ~145-150 (assumed, top tier)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 6)
- Trainer: Michael McCarthy (18% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 3 wins, $338,880 (Life Speed: 104)
- Recent: Won San Felipe-G2 (104 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: 104 speed tops par, 3-for-4, G2 wins.
- Concerns: Light experience, untested in G1.
- Outlook: Favorite with top credentials.
Luxor Cafe (20/1)
- Prime Power: ~140-145 (assumed)
- Running Style: Unknown
- Trainer: Noriyuki Hori (limited U.S. stats)
- Record: 6 starts, 4 wins, $379,057 (No U.S. speed figures)
- Recent: Won Fukuryu S. (Japan, Mar-25)
- Pros: 4-for-6, recent win streak.
- Concerns: No U.S. dirt runs, speed unknown.
- Outlook: High-upside import with dirt risk.
Madaket Road (50/1)
- Prime Power: ~135-140 (assumed)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 5)
- Trainer: Bob Baffert (29% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 1 win, $326,000 (Life Speed: 96)
- Recent: 4th Florida Derby-G1 (89 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Baffert’s stats, stakes placer.
- Concerns: 96 max speed, declining form.
- Outlook: Baffert could lift him, but recent fade hurts.
McAfee (90/1)
- Prime Power: ~130-135 (assumed)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 5)
- Trainer: Richard E. Dutrow Jr. (20% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 1 win, $80,880 (Life Speed: 89)
- Recent: 5th Gotham-G3 (89 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Dutrow’s second-off-layoff stat.
- Concerns: 89 max speed, light experience.
- Outlook: Longshot with little chance.
My Mitole (80/1)
- Prime Power: 131.6 (31st)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 6)
- Trainer: Martin Carlos F. (0% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 2 wins, $108,350 (Life Speed: 93)
- Recent: 4th Gotham-G3 (93 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: 2-for-5, early speed.
- Concerns: 93 max speed, 0% stakes trainer.
- Outlook: Outclassed longshot.
Omaha Omaha (99/1)
- Prime Power: 136.6 (26th)
- Running Style: S (Stalker, 0)
- Trainer: Michael E. Gorham (14% win rate)
- Record: 7 starts, 2 wins, $209,800 (Life Speed: 95)
- Recent: 3rd Virginia Derby (95 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Late-closing style, consistent placer.
- Concerns: 95 max speed, no 2025 wins.
- Outlook: Longshot with slim hopes.
Owen Almighty (30/1)
- Prime Power: 140.2 (20th)
- Running Style: E (Early, 8)
- Trainer: Brian A. Lynch (17% win rate)
- Record: 6 starts, 3 wins, $484,310 (Life Speed: 97)
- Recent: Won Tampa Bay Derby-G3 (95 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: G3 winner, early speed.
- Concerns: 97 max speed, stamina untested.
- Outlook: Value play with pace edge.
Passion Rules (50/1)
- Prime Power: 128.7 (34th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 4)
- Trainer: Brad Cox (27% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 3 wins, $114,600 (Life Speed: 85)
- Recent: Won OC200k (85 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Undefeated, Cox’s stats.
- Concerns: 85 max speed, no stakes runs.
- Outlook: Speed gap too big for now.
Publisher (25/1)
- Prime Power: 142.6 (13th)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 0)
- Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen (17% win rate)
- Record: 7 starts, 0 wins, $407,756 (Life Speed: 98)
- Recent: 2nd Arkansas Derby-G1 (98 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: G1 placer, high Prime Power.
- Concerns: Maiden, 98 max speed.
- Outlook: Value if he breaks through.
Render Judgment (80/1)
- Prime Power: 137.3 (24th)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 5)
- Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek (14% win rate)
- Record: 6 starts, 1 win, $214,110 (Life Speed: 96)
- Recent: 2nd Virginia Derby (96 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Late rally, stakes experience.
- Concerns: 96 max speed, weak stakes form.
- Outlook: Longshot with limited upside.
River Thames (40/1)
- Prime Power: 142.9 (11th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 8)
- Trainer: Todd Pletcher (18% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 2 wins, $164,400 (Life Speed: 99)
- Recent: 2nd Fountain of Youth-G2 (99 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: 99 speed, Pletcher’s stats.
- Concerns: Light experience, caught late.
- Outlook: Overlay potential at 40/1.
Rodriguez (50/1)
- Prime Power: 138.6 (21st)
- Running Style: E (Early, 7)
- Trainer: Bob Baffert (29% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 1 win, $122,800 (Life Speed: 97)
- Recent: 3rd San Felipe-G2 (91 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Baffert’s stats, sharp works.
- Concerns: 97 max speed, stakes drop-off.
- Outlook: Baffert gives hope, but form lags.
Sand Devil (80/1)
- Prime Power: 141.1 (19th)
- Running Style: E (Early, 8)
- Trainer: Linda Rice (19% win rate)
- Record: 4 starts, 3 wins, $211,800 (Life Speed: 97)
- Recent: 2nd Gotham-G3 (97 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: 3-for-4, consistent speed.
- Concerns: 97 max speed, weak stakes stat.
- Outlook: Longshot pace factor.
Sandman (8/1)
- Prime Power: 148.0 (1st)
- Running Style: S (Stalker, 0)
- Trainer: Mark Casse (17% win rate)
- Record: 8 starts, 3 wins, $1,254,595 (Life Speed: 101)
- Recent: Won Arkansas Derby-G1 (101 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: G1 win, 101 speed, top Prime Power.
- Concerns: Inconsistent prior form.
- Outlook: Top threat, short odds.
Shin Forever (50/1)
- Prime Power: ~135-140 (assumed)
- Running Style: NA
- Trainer: Hideyuki Mori (0% U.S. win rate)
- Record: 7 starts, 1 win, $416,778 (No U.S. speed figures)
- Recent: 2nd Saudi Derby-G3 (Feb-25)
- Pros: International stakes placer.
- Concerns: No U.S. dirt, speed unknown.
- Outlook: Wild card with dirt risk.
Sovereignty (10/1)
- Prime Power: 144.0 (9th)
- Running Style: S (Stalker, 0)
- Trainer: William I. Mott (15% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 2 wins, $572,800 (Life Speed: 99)
- Recent: 2nd Florida Derby-G1 (94 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: G2 win, G1 placer, Mott’s stats.
- Concerns: 99 max speed, failed as favorite.
- Outlook: Strong but odds limit value.
Statesman (80/1)
- Prime Power: 124.8 (36th)
- Running Style: P (Presser, 4)
- Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III (16% win rate)
- Record: 5 starts, 2 wins, $53,450 (Life Speed: 91)
- Recent: Won OC75k (84 speed, Feb-25)
- Pros: 2-for-2 in 2025, improving.
- Concerns: 91 max speed, class jump.
- Outlook: Longshot with no shot.
Tappan Street (10/1)
- Prime Power: 145.7 (3rd)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 4)
- Trainer: Brad Cox (27% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 2 wins, $643,400 (Life Speed: 99)
- Recent: Won Florida Derby-G1 (95 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: G1 win, Cox’s stats.
- Concerns: Light experience, 95 speed.
- Outlook: Top contender with value.
Tiger Twenty Four (80/1)
- Prime Power: 126.5 (35th)
- Running Style: E/P (Early/Presser, 3)
- Trainer: William I. Mott (15% win rate)
- Record: 3 starts, 1 win, $57,400 (Life Speed: 88)
- Recent: Won maiden (88 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: Mott’s stats, recent win.
- Concerns: 88 max speed, green.
- Outlook: Longshot outclassed.
Tiztastic (15/1)
- Prime Power: 145.3 (4th)
- Running Style: S (Stalker, 1)
- Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen (17% win rate)
- Record: 8 starts, 3 wins, $1,549,800 (Life Speed: 100)
- Recent: Won Louisiana Derby-G2 (100 speed, Mar-25)
- Pros: G2 win, 100 speed, experience.
- Concerns: Inconsistent prior form.
- Outlook: Value threat with closing kick.

Top Picks & Betting Strategies

Top Tier Contenders

Citizen Bull (10/1)

Why: 107 speed tops par, 4-for-5 with G1 (BC Juvenile) and G3 wins, Baffert’s 28% stakes stat, Prime Power 144.2 (7th). Early speed controls pace.
Concern: 62-day layoff, 96 speed last out dips slightly.
Strategy: Win bet at 10/1—strong value for a G1 winner with Baffert polish.

Journalism (4/1)

Why: 104 speed exceeds par, 3-for-4 with G2 wins, E/P style fits Churchill, assumed top Prime Power (~145-150).
Concern: Short odds, untested in G1 at 10f.
Strategy: Pass in futures unless odds drift to 6/1+; key in exotics.

Sandman (8/1)

Why: G1 Arkansas Derby win at 101, top Prime Power (148.0, 1st), stalker style suits distance.
Concern: Inconsistent prior form, short odds limit value.
Strategy: Win bet at 8/1, but overlay fades if lower.

Tappan Street (10/1)

Why: G1 Florida Derby win, 99 speed, Cox’s 25% stakes stat, Prime Power 145.7 (3rd).
Concern: Only 3 starts, 95 speed in G1 win.
Strategy: Win bet at 10/1—solid value now.

Value Overlays

Barnes (15/1)

Why: 102 speed hits par, G2 San Vicente win, 2nd in San Felipe-G2, Baffert’s 28% stakes stat, Prime Power 145.1 (5th).
Concern: Light experience (3 starts), failed as favorite last out.
Strategy: Win bet at 15/1—overlay with Baffert upside.

Tiztastic (15/1)

Why: G2 Louisiana Derby win at 100, Prime Power 145.3 (4th), stalker style, Asmussen’s 17% stakes stat.
Concern: Inconsistent prior form.
Strategy: Win bet at 15/1—value as a proven closer.

River Thames (40/1)

Why: 99 speed, G2 Fountain of Youth 2nd, Pletcher’s 22% dirt stat, Prime Power 142.9 (11th), E/P style.
Concern: Only 3 starts, caught late in G2.
Strategy: High-value win bet at 40/1; box in exotics.

Longshot Flyer

American Promise (30/1)

Why: 105 speed tops par, won Virginia Derby last out, Prime Power 143.3 (10th), early speed could factor.
Concern: Lukas’s 10% stakes clip, turf win questions dirt, inconsistent stakes form.
Strategy: Small win bet at 30/1—big payoff if dirt translates.

Betting Strategies for Value

Win Bets:
Barnes (15/1): Baffert’s polish, 102 speed, and 15/1 odds offer prime value.
Tiztastic (15/1): G2 win, 100 speed, and closing kick at a fair price.
River Thames (40/1): 99 speed and Pletcher’s upside make it a high-odds steal.
Exacta Box:
Citizen Bull (10/1) – Barnes (15/1) – River Thames (40/1): Pairs Baffert’s top duo with Pletcher’s overlay for pace and value.
Trifecta Key:
Sandman (8/1) over Tappan Street (10/1), Tiztastic (15/1), American Promise (30/1): Keys a G1 stalker with G1/G2 winners and a longshot flyer.
Longshot Hedge:
Small win bet on American Promise (30/1)—105 speed and recent win could defy odds if dirt holds.

Final Take

Citizen Bull (10/1) and Journalism (4/1) lead with 107 and 104 speeds, backed by G1/G2 wins and elite trainers (Baffert, McCarthy). Sandman (8/1) and Tappan Street (10/1) add G1 form (101, 99 speeds), while Barnes (15/1) and Tiztastic (15/1) offer overlay value at 102 and 100 speeds with Baffert and Asmussen. River Thames (40/1) is the high-odds gem (99 speed, Pletcher), and American Promise (30/1) is the longshot flyer with a 105 peak. Target 15/1+ overlays with stakes form—Barnes, Tiztastic, and River Thames—for the best Pool 6 value. Thoughts on the picks?

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