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Native Diver 2016: Odds, Analysis, Insight
Native Diver 2016 – Del Mar
The 2016 running of the G3 $100,000 Native Diver at Del Mar is the feature race of the day.
Note: Check the weather forecast for Del Mar racing.
Here’s a look at each of the runners with insight and analysis starting from the rail out:
- Hard Aces – Won the G3 Cougar II here in July on the lead going 1 1/2 miles beating just three others. Followed that with two ‘also ran’ attempts vs. Chrome with best effort being a 4th by 11 in the G1 Awesome Again at Santa Anita. Second in the BC Marathon a few weeks ago while racing one, two with the winner. This isn’t the right distance for him.
- Ebadan – Just two lifetime wins for this youngster who made his first appearance on dirt with a 5th place finish in a NW2X optional claimer last time out. Trainer, Drysdale is 18% at the meet but 0 for 61 in graded stakes races. Will probably perform better than expected but getting his picture taken is probably out of the question.
- Pretentious – NW2L eligible this son of Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver has done most of his racing over the lawn but his best has been on dirt – where he’ll be today. Broke his maiden here in July ’15 in a race that was moved from turf to the sloppy main track, and with all the rain in the L.A. area overnight, he’ll get a favorable surface to run on. Still hard to back with confidence.
- Imperative – 6 year old son of Bernardini has 4 lifetime wins for earnings of over $2 million. With tons of back class, he’ll open as the 5 to 2 second choice having run second to Dortmund in this race last year, but most of his races have been G1 or G2 efforts where he’s been competitive but unsuccessful. He’s 0 for 6 at Del Mar, which stands out too much in here.
- Blue Tone – Third behind Hard Aces in the Marathon. Gets new rider in Hall of Famer, Stevens who’ll be aboard for the first time. Has three wins and a second at Del Mar when they were still running on the all-weather in ’14. Trainer 0 for 14 in graded stakes tries.
- Point Piper – Exits a 6th place finish in the Breeders’ Cup Mile which produced next out winner Gun Runner. Won his only race over the dirt here in ’15 but is 0 for 4 at this distance. Goes for HOF trainer Hollendorfer who is 22% when teaming with Gutierrez but will have to improve big time to take this.
- Midnight Storm – Winner of 8 lifetime, 7 of which were on the lawn. Gets new rider in Prat while Bejarano serves out a suspension. Trainer just 5% at the meet but has had some success with graded kind. Opens as favorite after winning three in a row before a 3rd place finish in Breeders’ Cup Mile in last outing.
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