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Home / Churchill Downs / Churchill Downs: $400,000 G2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes Picks and Plays

Churchill Downs: $400,000 G2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes Picks and Plays

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The Grade 2 $400,000 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs on Saturday, November 29, 2025, is the final major 2-year-old points race of the year on the Road to the 2026 Kentucky Derby (50–25–15–10–5 scale). A compact but loaded field of seven goes 1 1/16 miles, and our AnglePicks algorithm has isolated a standout in Spendthrift Farm and Brad Cox’s Further Ado (7/5 morning-line favorite), who earned a field-best 92.8 final score and looks poised to stamp himself as a serious Derby contender under Irad Ortiz Jr. Full rankings and tickets below.

Final Ranked Scores

1. #6 Further Ado – 92.8
2. #4 Soldier N Diplomat – 89.1
3. #7 Universe – 87.4
4. #2 Cherokee Nation – 84.9
5. #3 Dr. Kapur – 82.6
6. #1 Spice Runner – 76.3
7. #5 Very Connected – 71.8

Predicted Order of Finish
6 – 4 – 7 – 2

Wagering Strategy (Aggressive but structured)

  • Win/Place heavy on #6 Further Ado
  • Exacta box 6-4-7 ($20 box = $120)
  • Exacta part-wheel 6 / 4-7-2 ($10 each = $30)
  • Trifecta key 6 / 4-7-2 / 4-7-2-1-3 ($1 tri key = $12)
  • Trifecta 6 / 4-7 / 4-7-2-1-3 ($1 wheel = $18)
  • Small saver exacta 4-7 over 6 (just in case Further Ado bounces off the layoff)

Confidence level on #6 Further Ado: 9/10