- Trainer PPs
- Sire PPs UPDATED
Churchill Downs Clark S. (G2)
- Updated: November 28, 2025
Canva
The 2025 Clark Stakes (G2) at Churchill Downs has a standout algorithm monster in #3 Hit Show, who fired a crushing 99.8 final score on AnglePicks v4.2 – the highest dirt-route number we’ve recorded all year. Fresh off an authoritative win in the Fayette Stakes (G3), Brad Cox’s 5-year-old son of Candy Ride gets Irad Ortiz Jr. in the irons, perfect stalking trip off an honest pace, and class relief into this spot. At a generous morning-line of 3-1, Hit Show is the single clearest crusher of the entire Churchill fall meet and our lock to close the stakes double in style.
AnglePicks Final Ranked Scores
- #3 Hit Show – 99.8 ← Monster number
- #4 Gosger – 96.1
- #6 Rattle N Roll – 93.4
- #9 Magnitude – 91.7
- #2 First Mission – 90.9
- #5 Chunk of Gold – 89.3
- #8 Willy D’s – 87.1
- #1 Cooke Creek – 84.4
Predicted Order of Finish
3 – 4 – 6 – 9 – 2
Hit Show sits perfect trip 3rd-4th off honest fractions, blows by late. Gosger and Rattle N Roll fight for place, Magnitude wires if left alone, but unlikely.
Wagering Strategy – MAX CONFIDENCE CRUSHER
This is the single highest algorithm score we’ve had on a dirt route all year.
- Win/Place/Show: #3 Hit Show (3/1 or better = gift)
- Exacta Box top-4: 3-4-6-9 ($1 box = $24)
- Exacta Part-Wheel: 3 / 4,6,9 / 4,6,9,2 ($1 = $12)
- Exacta Cold: 3-4 / 3-4-6-9 ($2 = $12)
- Trifecta Key: 3 with 4,6,9 with 2,4,6,9 ($0.50 = $12)
- Trifecta Big: 3 / 4,6,9 / 2,4,5,6,9 ($1 = $30)
Late Scratch / Pace Meltdown Contingency
If Magnitude or Gosger scratch → race collapses → upgrade Rattle N Roll hard (he’s the proven late runner).
Bottom Line
Hit Show is 4-1-1 in last six, just toyed with this field in the Fayette, gets Irad + Cox at peak powers, and the algorithm spits out a 99.8 — the same range that crushed with White Abarrio, Cody’s Wish, and Elite Power the last two years.
This is our lock of the entire Churchill meet.
