Shuvee Stakes (G2) Saratoga
Update Finalized
July 21, 2026
FREE
Official Field Analysis: Shuvee Stakes (G2)
Post: 5:10 PM EDTScottish Lassie (147.0 OPI) and Fully Subscribed (146.9 OPI) set the benchmark. Valtellina gives late-closing impact, while paper contenders like Bless the Broken are best utilized in lower exotic slots.
Sponsored Analysis
OPI Pedigree Deep-Dive
The 1 1/8-mile route at Saratoga rewards raw speed paired with tactical efficiency. Our OPI metrics point to Scottish Lassie and Fully Subscribed as the dominant forces on speed and competitive grades.
Top OPI Score
4
Scottish Lassie
OPI Score
147.0
Comp. Grade
A
Recent Speed
106
Value Audit
Our Expert Perspective uses a 50/30/20 weighting to separate true value from public hype.
OPI Confidence:
High
-
Pedigree Index20%
1
Snowyte
ML:
front-runner
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Fails lifetime Track & Distance win filter. Runner-up in Top Flight, but needs major jump in speed figure efficiency to push G1/G2 winners here.
2
Aeolian
ML:
stalker
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Unproven at G2 stakes level and distance filter (0-0-0 T&D). High OPI Pedigree Index (2.85), but lacks the raw speed figures of the top trio.
3
Fully Subscribed
ML:
stalker
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Coming off dead-heat 2nd in G1 Ogden Phipps. Multiple G2/G3 route winner with elite grade credentials and sharp tactical speed.
4
Scottish Lassie
ML:
front-runner
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Premium Real Winner. Clears Track & Distance filter with 2025 CCA Oaks (G1) win over Saratoga surface. Comes off dominant 8.5-length AOC prep score.
5
Bless the Broken
ML:
stalker
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Premium Paper Contender. Dead-heated with Fully Subscribed in Phipps (G1), but dinged on lower OPI Pedigree Index (1.31) and lacks T&D win mark.
6
Eunomia
ML:
stalker
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Dual graded-placed, but well beaten in Ruffian (G2). Recent speed figures leave her outclassed against this top tier.
7
Valtellina
ML:
closer
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner contender. Clears hard T&D win filter at Saratoga. Enters with 100 Recent Speed Figure off runner-up effort in Critical Eye Stakes.
WEATHER & TRACK ALERT: Forecast for Shuvee Stakes (G2) Post Time is CLOUDY & FAST.
OPI Recent Speed Figures (50% weight) are prioritized for today's Fast track conditions.
Track Intelligence Engine
Data Sync:
July 21, 2026 - 10:00 am EDT Projected Model: No Guarantee of Results
| Post | Horse | OPI Pedigree | Comp Grade | Recent Speed | OPI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowyte | 1.9 | B+ | 88 | 133.5 |
| 2 | Aeolian | 2.9 | B | 82 | 133.3 |
| 3 | Fully Subscribed | 1.8 | A- | 96 | 146.9 |
| 4 | Scottish Lassie | 1.6 | A | 106 | 147.0 |
| 5 | Bless the Broken | 1.3 | B+ | 96 | 142.9 |
| 6 | Eunomia | 1.8 | B | 81 | 138.8 |
| 7 | Valtellina | 1.3 | A- | 100 | 135.9 |
OPI Watchlist: Shuvee
Scottish Lassie
Style: front-runner
OPI Scout: Pacesetter with top OPI Score (147.0) and field-best 106 Recent Speed Figure. G1 CCA Oaks winner over the Saratoga surface.
Fully Subscribed
Style: stalker
OPI Scout: Solid 146.9 OPI Score. Coming off dead-heat 2nd in Ogden Phipps (G1).
Valtellina
Style: closer
OPI Scout: Triple-digit speed figure (100) and proven track/distance winner.
The "Hard Filter" Forecast
Shuvee Stakes Structure & Pace Analysis: Scottish Lassie holds the key to the pace map from post 4. Fresh off an 8.5-length prep romp and carrying a G1 track victory, she forms a strong front-running anchor. Fully Subscribed and Bless the Broken renew their dead-heat rivalry from the Ogden Phipps, with Fully Subscribed holding the edge on OPI Pedigree Index.
Refresh Analysis →OPI Strategic Framework
The Efficiency Play
Focus on the Top OPI Qualifier and the Heavyweight in a vertical structure.
Positive Regression
Build value spreads around high-indexing components while explicitly fading the Public Trap.