Hendrie Stakes (G3) Woodbine
Update Finalized
July 25, 2026
FREE
Official Field Analysis: Hendrie Stakes (G3)
Post: 5:13 PM EDTReagan's Flame (137.7 OPI) and Creed's Gold (137.3 OPI) represent the elite surface class. American Women offers value under the exotics, while high-pedigree turf runners like Time to Dazzle must clear synthetic surface filters.
Sponsored Analysis
OPI Pedigree Deep-Dive
The 6 1/2-furlong Tapeta test at Woodbine rewards past synthetic efficiency over raw turf numbers. Our OPI metrics heavily favor proven local winners Reagan's Flame and Creed's Gold.
Top OPI Score
6
Reagan's Flame
OPI Score
137.7
Comp. Grade
A-
Recent Speed
88
Value Audit
Our Expert Perspective uses a 50/30/20 weighting to separate true value from public hype.
OPI Confidence:
High
-
Pedigree Index20%
1
Without Cause
ML: 12/1
front-runner
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Fails lifetime Track & Surface hard filter (0/0 AW / Woodbine). Turf speed does not automatically convert over Tapeta surface.
2
Creed's Gold
ML: 3/1
presser
FAIR VALUE
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Defending champion of this exact race (G3 Hendrie). Perfect 1/1 at Woodbine Tapeta distance with elite back-speed metrics.
3
Uphill Dance
ML: 10/1
presser
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Clears AW and distance filters (3 AW wins, 2/2 distance). Recent speed figure lag (76) keeps her in secondary exotic slots.
4
Slang
ML: 15/1
presser
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Fails lifetime distance & track filters (0/0 Woodbine / 6.5f). Outclassed relative to proven Tapeta stakes mares.
5
She's All Charm
ML: 12/1
presser
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Fails AW filter (0/2 on synthetic surface, 0/0 at Woodbine). Below average OPI score efficiency.
6
Reagan's Flame
ML: 5/2
presser
FAIR VALUE
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Premium Real Winner. Field-high OPI Score (137.7) and perfect 2/2 lifetime on AW surfaces, including G3 Whimsical win over Woodbine Tapeta.
7
Kehoe Beach
ML: 7/2
front-runner
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Failed AW filter (0/2 on synthetic) and coming off major bounce in recent speed figure (37). Front-running speed vulnerable late.
8
American Women
ML: 8/1
presser
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Clears synthetic hard filters (1/2 AW, 1/2 distance). Possesses high OPI Pedigree Index (1.94) and reliable local course experience.
9
Time to Dazzle
ML: 6/1
closer
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Field-high OPI Pedigree Index (2.67), but fails hard track and distance filter (0/0 Woodbine / 6.5f). Vulnerable synthetic debut at short odds.
WEATHER & TRACK ALERT: Forecast for Hendrie Stakes (G3) Post Time is CLOUDY & FAST.
OPI Recent Speed Figures (50% weight) are prioritized for today's Fast track conditions.
Track Intelligence Engine
Data Sync:
July 24, 2026 - 2:00 pm EDT Projected Model: No Guarantee of Results
| Post | Horse | OPI Pedigree | Comp Grade | Recent Speed | OPI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Without Cause 12/1 | 1.7 | B | 88 | 132.8 |
| 2 | Creed's Gold 3/1 | 1.2 | A | 91 | 137.3 |
| 3 | Uphill Dance 10/1 | 1.2 | B | 76 | 126.2 |
| 4 | Slang 15/1 | 1.7 | B | 87 | 131.1 |
| 5 | She's All Charm 12/1 | 1.6 | B | 86 | 123.6 |
| 6 | Reagan's Flame 5/2 | 0.9 | A- | 88 | 137.7 |
| 7 | Kehoe Beach 7/2 | 1.7 | B+ | 37 | 128.4 |
| 8 | American Women 8/1 | 1.9 | B+ | 85 | 131.0 |
| 9 | Time to Dazzle 6/1 | 2.7 | A- | 90 | 134.8 |
OPI Watchlist: 2026 Hendrie
Reagan's Flame
Style: presser
OPI Scout: Top OPI Score (137.7) and unbeaten on synthetic (2/2). Dominant G3 Whimsical winner over Woodbine surface.
Creed's Gold
Style: presser
OPI Scout: Defending G3 Hendrie winner over track & distance with high back-speed figures.
American Women
Style: presser
OPI Scout: Solid 1.94 OPI Pedigree Index with proven Woodbine Tapeta performance.
The "Hard Filter" Forecast
Hendrie Stakes Structure & Pace Analysis: Kehoe Beach and Without Cause bring turf early speed to the front, setting up an optimal setup for pressers. Reagan's Flame and Creed's Gold dominate the synthetic metrics and form the core Real Winner tier. Paper contenders like Time to Dazzle hold high pedigree indexes but face unproven surface transitions.
Refresh Analysis →OPI Strategic Framework
The Efficiency Play
Focus on the Top OPI Qualifier and the Heavyweight in a vertical structure.
Positive Regression
Build value spreads around high-indexing components while explicitly fading the Public Trap.