Clement L. Hirsch Stakes (G1) Del Mar
Update Finalized
July 29, 2026
FREE
Official Field Analysis: Clement L. Hirsch Stakes (G1)
Post: 6:30 PM PDTSeismic Beauty (147.5 OPI) sets the gold standard. Chasten (143.0 OPI) and Simply Joking (142.5 OPI) head the prime challenger contingent.
Sponsored Analysis
OPI Pedigree Deep-Dive
A classic 1 1/16 mile main track test demanding sustained tactical speed. Progeny of Uncle Mo (Seismic Beauty) and Into Mischief (Chasten) carry premier Grade I distance pedigree profiles.
Top OPI Score
8
Seismic Beauty
OPI Score
147.5
Comp. Grade
A+
Recent Speed
89
Value Audit
Our Expert Perspective uses a 50/30/20 weighting to separate true value from public hype.
OPI Confidence:
High
-
Pedigree Index20%
1
Chasten
ML: 4/1
closer
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Coming off a driving victory in the Obeah Stakes (96 Recent Speed Figure). Maintains a strong 91 Competitive Grade cushion, protecting her status despite zero prior starts over the Del Mar surface.
2
Hey Jessie
ML: 15/1
closer
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Moving back to dirt after failing to threaten in turf stakes. Lower Competitive Grade offers zero class buffering against track/distance filter deficiencies.
3
Om N Joy
ML: 5/1
closer
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Upset winner of the G2 Santa Margarita with a field-matching 100 Recent Speed Figure. Proven 2-for-4 record over the Del Mar main track makes her a primary winner contender.
4
Bank Shot
ML: 20/1
front-runner
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Sophomore filly stepping up against older G1 horses. Speed figures in the low 80s fall well short of the benchmark winning standards.
5
Majestic Oops
ML: 6/1
closer
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Millionaire mare exiting back-to-back graded stakes placings (98 Recent Speed Figure). Strong Competitive Grade (92) shields her unplaced local record.
6
Simply Joking
ML: 7/2
front-runner
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Cutback to 1 1/16 miles fits her early pace speed vector perfectly. Holds high Competitive Grade (93) and a prior runner-up finish over the Del Mar strip.
7
A Thousand Miles
ML: 30/1
stalker
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. Unplaced in five consecutive starts this year, culminating in a 53 Recent Speed Figure effort in the Great Lady M. Takes maximum filter deductions.
8
Seismic Beauty
ML: 5/2
front-runner
FAIR VALUE
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Real Winner. Defending champion of this race with a career-best 107 speed figure over this surface. Holds the field-high OPI Score (147.5) and top Competitive Grade (98).
9
Eunomia
ML: 8/1
stalker
HANDICAPPER OVERRIDE: Paper Contender. East Coast shipper bounced off a stumble in the Ruffian (81 figure). Competitive Grade (88) provides partial cushion, but zero Del Mar experience keeps her on the fringe.
WEATHER & TRACK ALERT: Forecast for Clement L. Hirsch Stakes (G1) Post Time is CLOUDY & FAST.
OPI Recent Speed Figures (50% weight) are prioritized for today's Fast track conditions.
Track Intelligence Engine
Data Sync:
July 29, 2026 - 10:43 am MDT Projected Model: No Guarantee of Results
| Post | Horse | OPI Pedigree | Comp Grade | Recent Speed | OPI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chasten 4/1 | 9.2 | A- | 96 | 143.0 |
| 2 | Hey Jessie 15/1 | 7.2 | C+ | 84 | 129.9 |
| 3 | Om N Joy 5/1 | 8.1 | A- | 100 | 134.6 |
| 4 | Bank Shot 20/1 | 7.8 | C+ | 83 | 129.3 |
| 5 | Majestic Oops 6/1 | 8.0 | A | 98 | 141.9 |
| 6 | Simply Joking 7/2 | 8.8 | A | 96 | 142.5 |
| 7 | A Thousand Miles 30/1 | 7.4 | C | 53 | 125.3 |
| 8 | Seismic Beauty 5/2 | 9.5 | A+ | 89 | 147.5 |
| 9 | Eunomia 8/1 | 8.4 | B+ | 81 | 138.7 |
OPI Watchlist: 2026 Clement L. Hirsch Stakes
Seismic Beauty
Style: front-runner
OPI Scout: Field-high OPI Score (147.5), defending race winner (107 peak figure over surface), and elite class profile.
Chasten
Style: closer
OPI Scout: Juddmonte homebred riding a winning effort in the Obeah; strong 91 Competitive Grade cushions track filter.
Simply Joking
Style: front-runner
OPI Scout: Cutback in distance favors her early pace speed vector; G3 Santa Maria winner with top-tier early figures.
The "Hard Filter" Forecast
Clement L. Hirsch Structure & Pace Analysis: High-octane early duel expected up front with front-runners Seismic Beauty and Simply Joking forcing a contested pace. Defending champion Seismic Beauty holds the class edge, while Om N Joy and Chasten represent the primary late-closing threats if the pace collapses.
Refresh Analysis →OPI Strategic Framework
The Efficiency Play
Focus on the Top OPI Qualifier and the Heavyweight in a vertical structure.
Positive Regression
Build value spreads around high-indexing components while explicitly fading the Public Trap.