Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (G2) Laurel Park
Update Finalized
May 13, 2026
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2026 Preakness Stakes: Iron Honor Blinkers OFF. Highest-value maneuver in the Preakness field.
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2026 Belmont Stakes: Golden Tempo, Renegade, Chief Wallabee Pointed To June 6 Belmont at Saratoga.
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Official Field Analysis: Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (G2)
Post: 5:17 PM ETThe 2026 Black-Eyed Susan centers on a tactical battle between the front-running Braken Poppa and a wave of elite E/P types. Our system has flagged Savor It as a fade despite her recent win, as her internal metrics fail our "Competitive Grade" benchmark for Graded Stakes. Conversely, A. P.'s Girl and Ivy Girl clear the Lifetime Track filter, making them dangerous late threats if the pace collapses. The key to the race lies in Jumping the Gun—if she returns to her two-year-old form, the field is running for second.
Sponsored Analysis
OPI Pedigree Deep-Dive
Laurel’s 9-furlong configuration demands a balance of early position and late sustainability. Our OPI Pedigree Index identifies Jumping the Gun (9.4 Index) and My Miss Mo (9.2 Index) as the genetic favorites. However, the logic shifts toward Ivy Girl when surface familiarity is cross-referenced with Recent Speed Figures.
Top OPI Score
7
Jumping the Gun
OPI Score
94.2
Comp. Grade
A+
Recent Speed
79
Lifetime Track & Distance Filter Result
9-Furlong Stamina + Laurel Track Experience Hard Filter Applied.
Value Audit
Our Expert Perspective uses a 50/30/20 weighting to separate true value from public hype.
OPI Confidence:
High
-
Pedigree Index20%
1
Miss Fulton Gal
ML: 12/1
presser
Local hope with significant experience over the Laurel surface. While she lacks the elite speed figures of the shippers, her tactical versatility allows her to sit just off what looks like a contested early pace.
2
Ivy Girl
ML: 8/1
stalker
Coming off a career-best 85 speed figure in the Weber City Miss. She has shown she can handle the local kickback and has the late energy (98 LP) to capitalize if the leaders tire.
3
Holly's Holiday
ML: 6/1
presser
McPeek shipper enters off a game victory in the Valley of the Vapors. Her pedigree suggests she will relish the 9-furlong distance, and Flavien Prat taking the mount is a major intent signal.
4
Savor It
ML: 20/1
speed
Won a long duel at Parx last out, but historical Graded Stakes metrics for the trainer and a lack of depth in her speed profile make her a "Paper Contender" in this spot.
5
Braken Poppa
ML: 4/1
speed
FAIR VALUE
The fastest horse in the race with a 93 Recent Speed Figure. Asmussen has her in peak form, and while she steps up in class, her ability to set or press moderate fractions makes her the one to catch.
6
Haute Diva
ML: 15/1
speed
Possesses an elite OPI Pedigree Index for the distance. However, her recent form in Florida suggests she may have peaked early in the season; needs to regain her January "Cash Run" form.
7
Jumping the Gun
ML: 5/2
speed
UNDERLAY
Top OPI Qualifier. Her Demoiselle performance (90 speed) is the class of the field. Though she disappointed as the favorite last out, she is eligible for a massive forward move in her second start off the layoff.
8
Majestic Lucia
ML: 10/1
presser
Progressive type coming out of the Tampa circuit. While she won with a big late run last time, the jump to Grade II company against this caliber of stalker is a significant hurdle.
9
A. P.'s Girl
ML: 6/1
presser
Just missed in the Weber City Miss after a wide trip. Irad Ortiz Jr. takes the reins, and her high-cruising speed is perfect for the Laurel stretch. Clears our distance hard filters comfortably.
10
My Miss Mo
ML: 3/1
speed
UNDERLAY
Enormous talent from the Saffie Joseph barn. Her 92 speed figure in the Gulfstream Oaks is elite. The wide draw is the only concern, but her tactical speed should overcome the post.
WEATHER & TRACK ALERT: Forecast for Preakness Stakes Weekend is SUNNY & FAST.
OPI Recent Speed Figures (50% weight) are prioritized for today's Fast track conditions.
Track Intelligence Engine
Data Sync:
May 11, 2026 - 10:03 am EDT Projected Model: No Guarantee of Results
| Post | Horse | OPI Pedigree | Comp Grade | Recent Speed | OPI Score | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss Fulton Gal 12/1 | 8.4 | B | 79 | 80.2 | PAPER |
| 2 | Ivy Girl 8/1 | 8.7 | B+ | 85 | 88.4 | REAL WINNER |
| 3 | Holly's Holiday 6/1 | 8.9 | B+ | 86 | 89.1 | REAL WINNER |
| 4 | Savor It 20/1 | 7.6 | C+ | 84 | 76.5 | PAPER |
| 5 | Braken Poppa 4/1 | 8.1 | A- | 93 | 92.8 | REAL WINNER |
| 6 | Haute Diva 15/1 | 9.1 | B | 85 | 84.3 | PAPER |
| 7 | Jumping the Gun 5/2 | 9.4 | A+ | 79 | 94.2 | REAL WINNER |
| 8 | Majestic Lucia 10/1 | 7.9 | B- | 83 | 81.7 | PAPER |
| 9 | A. P.'s Girl 6/1 | 8.8 | B+ | 85 | 89.5 | REAL WINNER |
| 10 | My Miss Mo 3/1 | 9.2 | A | 92 | 93.7 | REAL WINNER |
OPI Watchlist: Black-Eyed Susan
Jumping the Gun (5/2)
Style: e/p
OPI Scout: Top OPI Qualifier (94.2). Second-off-layoff signal is the strongest in our system. Her 9.4 Pedigree Index is the field high for this distance.
My Miss Mo (3/1)
Style: e/p
OPI Scout: The Speed Anchor (93.7). Elite Recent Speed Figure (92). She possesses the most consistent form cycle of the shippers.
Braken Poppa (4/1)
Style: front-runner
OPI Scout: The Pace Master. If she clears early, she becomes the "Real Winner" candidate based on her ability to carry 90+ speed around two turns.
The "Hard Filter" Forecast
Hard Filter Alert: Jumping the Gun and My Miss Mo remain the primary qualifiers, passing the OPI Pedigree threshold for 9 furlongs. A. P.'s Girl is the "Real Winner" value play after a troubled local prep. Savor It is a "Public Trap" due to inflated figures at Parx that don't translate to G2 Laurel standards. The presence of multiple E/P types (Haute Diva, A.P.'s Girl, My Miss Mo) ensures a brisk pace that favors the tactical stalkers.
Refresh Analysis →OPI Strategic Framework
The Efficiency Play
Focus on the Top OPI Qualifier and the Heavyweight in a vertical structure.
Positive Regression
Build around the "Real Winner" filter horses while explicitly fading the Public Trap.
Kelly Criterion: Value Calculator
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Strategy: Quarter-Kelly
Risk-adjusted for long-term growth.Disclaimer: The Overall Performance Index (OPI) and Pro Betting Sheet data are for educational purposes. All wagering responsibilities rest with the user. 1-800-GAMBLER.