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Home / Race of the Day / Gulfstream Park / Pegasus World Cup Post Positions, Odds, Analysis

Pegasus World Cup Post Positions, Odds, Analysis

The Pegasus World Cup will be California Chrome’s Final Race

The Pegasus World Cup post positions are set for the inaugural running of North America’s richest race the G1 $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational at Gulfstream Park on Saturday.

Pegasus World Cup Post Positions

Here’s a quick analysis of the race:

  1. Arrogate – Will be making first start since November having worked up to the race with four consecutive 6 furlong moves including two bullets over the past month. He drew the rail again and has two wins prior from this post including his 13 length Travers win. Odds: 7 to 5
  2. Prayer for Relief – 9 year-old will be making his 46th lifetime start for his connections. Hasn’t seen the winner’s circle in last 10 starts over a two year period. Beat one horse home in last start, the G1 Clark. Race filler. Odds: 50
  3. Neolithic – Won last start by 9 wearing blinkers for second time but that was vs. allowance non-winners of 1 other than. He’s two for two at Gulfstream but is still eligible for NW3L. Second in his only graded try two back in the G3 Discovery at Aqueduct. Odds: 30
  4. Noble Bird – Won the G3 Pimlico Special by 11 but was no match when stepping up to G1 company in next two. Won the Lukas Classic on a wet track at Churchill in October and returned to win the G2 Fayette a few weeks later. 7th in the G1 Clark last time out. Odds: 25
  5. War Story – Notched his 4th lifetime win last time out in an Aqueduct overnight on the inner. Beat one horse home in the Breeders’ Cup Classic at $100 to $1 (but he did break in the air that day :)). Odds: 50
  6. War Envoy – NW3L eligible whose last win was at Ascot by a neck going 1 mile on the turf. They did have to put up $1 million to play in here, right? Odds: 50
  7. Shaman Ghost – Will be making his third lifetime start with Lasix but not sure that’s the answer for this guy. Won the Woodward two back then returned a well beaten third in the G1 Clark. Broke his maiden here as a 3 year-old going 1 1/16. Gets new rider in Ortiz. Odds: 20
  8. Semper Fortis – Reddam Racing’s $1 million entry broke his maiden at Del Mar going 5/8’s and won his next out at Los Al going 1 mile. That’s it. Had been wearing the hood since the beginning but went eyes wide open in his last two to no avail. They’ll be looking for him with a search party. Odds: 50
  9. Keen Ice – Been waiting for this horse to pull the upset since he did it against ‘Pharoah’ in the ’15 Travers to notch his second and last lifetime win. Expecting Pletcher to be able to turn him around but given his third place finish last time out as the favorite in the G3 Harlan’s Holiday, I don’t see how he’ll be able to make up 11 lengths on the top two in here. Too bad they’re not running this one at Saratoga because surface is everything in this game and his 0 for 3 at Gulfstream. Odds: 12 to 1
  10. Breaking Lucky – Last victory was in the G3 Seagram Cup at Woodbine over the synthetic stuff. Second last time out to Gun Runner in the Clark and before that he was dusted by Noble Bird in the wet-fast Lukas Classic as the favorite.  All things considered, his best effort was a 4th place finish three back in the Woodward at 48 to 1. Was off the board in his only start at Gulfstream. Odds: 25
  11. Eragon – Argentinian bred was recently purchased for this race by the eccentric Jim McIngvale a.k.a. Mattress Mack of Houston whose best runner was the ’15 Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner Run Happy. But I digress. This horse has won 10 of 20 in Argentina on turf and dirt going 1 mile and his only try around two turns was a 4th place finish at 1 1/8 miles on a heavy turf course. Odds: 50
  12. California Chrome – Art Sherman knows you have to play the hand your dealt and that’s what he’ll do after drawing the worst post position. According to DRF’s Mike Watchmaker, horses starting from gates 8 thru 12 going two turns at Gulfstream this meet are a combined 0 for 25. But this is no ordinary horse and we should see him clear the first 7 to his inside with no problem. Neolithic and Arrogate will be aggressively sent from the inside making it a rider’s race from the bell and may the best horse win. Odds: 6 to 5