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Free Kentucky Derby 2021 Contender PPs (Early Edition)

Churchill Downs returns post COVID-19 with Maxfield in the G3 Matt Winn

Free Kentucky Derby Contenders PPs for Saturday, May 1, 2021 at Churchill Downs

UPDATE: Wiz Capper’s Projected Odds for Kentucky Derby 147

We’re just two weeks out from the May 1 Kentucky Derby at Churchill where undefeated Essential Quality will head a full-field of 20 to the starting gate as the likely favorite after the defection of several key contenders have dropped out.

The Blue Grass winner in his most recent start, Essential Quality will return to Churchill Downs for the first time since winning his maiden voyage there in impressive fashion last September for trainer Brad Cox and Godolphin.

Other notable contenders include recent Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World who defeated the Baffert runner Medina Spirit to vault into contention for Derby 147.

Coming in with a strong chance is the Todd Pletcher trainee Known Agenda who is undefeated in his last two starts since being equipped with blinkers.

Noticeably absent from the list of probables after leading the early field of contenders are Greatest Honour, Concert Tour, and Life Is Good — all highly regarded before unexpected set backs.

Kentucky Derby 2021 Contenders by Points

Race 12
Distance: 1 1/4 miles
Purse: $3 million

PP HORSE TRAINER Projected ODDS Fantasy Finish
1 Essential Quality Cox 3-1 2nd
Started his currently undefeated tour sprinting 6f at CD in a MSW. Returns as the likely favorite when the gate springs open. Final work 1:00.4
2 Hot Rod Charlie O’Neill 12-1 10th
He’s 2 for 4 since adding blinkers to win an MSW at Santa Anita. Was our pick in the Louisiana Derby. Final work 6F 1:13.68. Gets new rider, Flavien Prat.
3 Super Stock Asmussen 15-1 11th
Arkansas Derby winner is 0 for 2 at Churchill.
4 Like the King Ward 20-1 14th
Synthetic specialist whose sire was 12th in the ’13 Derby and 1st in the Belmont that year. Final work 6F 1:12.8
5 Known Agenda Pletcher 10-1 3rd
Winner of his last two, he proved to be a different horse once blinkers were added. 
6 Rock Your World Sadler 8-1 1st
Three trips to the winner’s circle in as many starts. His Santa Anita Derby victory had Baffert singing his praise. Rosario gets the call. Final work 5F :59.4
7 Bourbonic Pletcher 30-1 13th
Pletcher rocked the Wood at 72 to 1. There was something about that Parx race two back.
8 Medina Spirit Baffert 15-1 5th
Derby distance will be too much for him to win.
9 Midnight Bourbon Asmussen 20-1 15th
He’s a grade below the best of the G1 winners in here.
10 Mandaloun Cox 20-1 9th
Wore blinkers for his last two but expect them to come off for the Derby. Final work 5F 1:00.0
11 Highly Motivated Brown 15-1 4th
After his defeat as the favorite in the Gotham, he gave Essential Quality a scare in the Blue Grass. 
12 Helium Casse 30-1 20th
Circled the field to win the Tampa Bay Derby in early March to stay undefeated. Hasn’t raced since.
14 Soup and Sandwich Casse 30-1 6th
Runner up in the Florida Derby while on his left lead, he was 3 clear of Greatest Honour in third.
185 Dynamic One Pletcher 30-1 16th
2nd in the Wood off maiden score, he’s still developing for Pletcher.
16 Sainthood Pletcher 50-1 19th
Troubled trip in the Jeff Ruby, he came running to get 2nd. Sire started career on turf overseas before switching to dirt in the U.S. under Pletcher – without much success.
17 Hidden Stash Oliver 30-1 18th
He’ll have to make the one big run of his life to take home the Roses. That’s a longshot.
18 O Besos Foley 20-1 12th
Derby winning sire Orb helped bring this one into the world. He may be a few strides below the best of the rest.
19 King Fury McPeek 20-1 7th
Took the Lexington in his last start off a 5 month layoff. Second time out off a layoff is usually not a favorable handicapping angle. But can’t dismiss outright. Final work 1:00.1
20 Keepmeinmind Diodoro 30-1 8th
The winner of the KYJC as a two year old, he has been unable to beat Essential Quality in three attempts. Final work 4F :46.2 best of 108 bullet move

Horses on the “Also Eligible” list include:

  • Proxy
  • Rombauer
  • Dream Shake
  • Get Her Number
  • Hozier
  • Hockey Dad
  • Waspirant

Free Kentucky Derby Contender PPs courtesy of Brisnet and Courier Journal

Free Kentucky Derby past pe… by Courier Journal

 

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